lesson
Evaluating Risk vs. Reward in Probability-Based Decisions
Weigh the probability and magnitude of potential gains against potential losses to make informed decisions.

Weigh the probability and magnitude of potential gains against potential losses to make informed decisions.
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11th Grade · Math · CCSS
5 lessons
Use expected value and conditional probability to evaluate real-world decisions in product testing, medical screening, sports strategy, and risk-reward trade-offs, culminating in a decision analysis project.
(+) Analyze decisions and strategies using probability concepts (e.g., product testing, medical testing, pulling a hockey goalie at the end of a game).
(+) Weigh the possible outcomes of a decision by assigning probabilities to payoff values and finding expected values.